Jan 31

Executive Insights: The Economic Consequences of the Trade War

Speaker: Dr. Michael Spencer, Managing Director and Head of Research Asia Pacific, Deutsche Bank

Location

Shangri-La Hotel Tokyo
Conway Room 2&3 (27F)
Marunouchi Trust Tower Main, 1-8-3 Marunouchi Chiyoda-ku
100-8283 Tokyo
Japan

Details
Event Start
2019/01/31 | 11:45
Event End
2019/01/31 | 14:00
Price
8,500 Yen
Welcome drink & lunch included
Event Language
English
Registration
Subscription Date
2019/01/24

© Getty Images/FangXiaNuo

About the Event

The US-China trade war is about much more than trade and isn’t just between China and the US. The major developed economy leaders have concluded that China is opening up to trade and investment too slowly and protections of its SEOs distort not only the domestic market but foreign markets when those firms export or invest abroad. There is a path out of this conflict that would be mutually beneficial, but will leaders on both sides find it?

The trade war is only one of a number of significant geopolitical risks: Brexit; European conflicts over fiscal policy and other concerns have led to an elevated sense of uncertainty. Fortunately, the global economy remains quite robust. Growth has peaked, but is slowing down at a moderate pace, supported by an “exceptional” US economy. Our base case is for growth in the US and Europe to remain strong enough, even if a little slower, to support the continued gradual withdrawal of monetary stimulus.

Dr. Michael Spencer is Chief Economist and Head of Research, Asia Pacific, at Deutsche Bank. He has been a senior member of Deutsche Bank’s research department since joining the bank in Hong Kong in December 1997 as Senior Economist. Since 2013, he has also been Head of Research, Asia Pacific, overseeing the bank’s equity, fixed income, credit, foreign exchange and economics research throughout the region. He is also a member of the Management Committee of Deutsche Bank AG, Hong Kong.

Prior to joining Deutsche Bank, Michael worked at the International Monetary Fund between 1990 and 1997, the last six years of which were in the International Capital Markets division, which pioneered the IMF’s surveillance of capital markets and financial system soundness in all its member countries. He has published numerous articles on different aspects of financial economics in both academic and policy fora.

Michael has a PhD and a Bachelor of Arts degree (Honours) from Queen’s University, Canada, and a Master of Arts degree from the University of Toronto.

Program

11:45 - 12:15 Registration & Networking (incl. welcome drink)
12:15 - 13:00 Lunch
13:00 - 13:45 Keynote
13:45 - 14:00 Q&A

Notes

  • If you do not receive a confirmation within three hours, kindly contact us again.
  • Cancellations after the registration deadline and no-shows will be charged in full.
  • Please inform us about dietary restrictions if any
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